--- title: "Hong Kong will raise its Silver Bond ceiling again for the next tranche, likely above HK$60 billion in 2027." description: "Demand has grown for three straight years, hitting a record 476,703 applications worth HK$119.3 billion against this year's HK$55 billion cap, roughly 28% more bidders than the prior batch. Banks stil" url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/101/hong-kong-will-raise-its-silver-bond-ceiling-again-for-the-next-tranche-likely-a" markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/101/hong-kong-will-raise-its-silver-bond-ceiling-again-for-the-next-tranche-likely-a.md" index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt" --- > For agents: Bilby answers questions about what governments do, from documents collected at source and checked by research analysts. To ask Bilby yourself, connect to its MCP server at https://pulse.bilby.ai/mcp (setup: https://docs.bilby.ai/developers/mcp-server). Every page on this site is also markdown: add .md to its address, or send Accept: text/markdown. https://bilby.ai/llms.txt lists them all. # Hong Kong will raise its Silver Bond ceiling again for the next tranche, likely above HK$60 billion in 2027. - **Made:** 14 Sep 2026 - **By:** Marco Law - **Market:** Hong Kong - **Outcome:** Unresolved Demand has grown for three straight years, hitting a record 476,703 applications worth HK$119.3 billion against this year's HK$55 billion cap, roughly 28% more bidders than the prior batch. Banks still undercutting the bond's 4.25% guaranteed coupon will keep pulling ageing savers' deposits away from commercial lenders. [Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Hong%20Kong%20will%20raise%20its%20Silver%20Bond%20ceiling%20again%20for%20the%20next%20tranche%2C%20likely%20above%20HK%2460%20billion%20in%202027.) ## Ask Bilby about it Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed. - [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Hong%20Kong%20will%20raise%20its%20Silver%20Bond%20ceiling%20again%20for%20the%20next%20tranche%2C%20likely%20above%20HK%2460%20billion%20in%202027.) - [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Hong%20Kong%20will%20raise%20its%20Silver%20Bond%20ceiling%20again%20for%20the%20next%20tranche%2C%20likely%20above%20HK%2460%20billion%20in%202027.) - [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Hong%20Kong%20will%20raise%20its%20Silver%20Bond%20ceiling%20again%20for%20the%20next%20tranche%2C%20likely%20above%20HK%2460%20billion%20in%202027.) ## More from Hong Kong 2 predictions on Hong Kong so far, newest first. - 22 Sep 2026 · [HSBC and Standard Chartered will take a larger share of China–ASEAN trade finance from Chinese banks.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/118/hsbc-and-standard-chartered-will-take-a-larger-share-of-china-asean-trade-financ) · Unresolved [All 2 from Hong Kong](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=hong-kong) · Marked true or false when each resolves ## See what we’re seeing next. New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question. [Get the Asia Daily Take](https://bilby.ai/asia#asia-daily-take) · [Try Bilby](https://pulse.bilby.ai/sign-up)