---
title: "TikTok or X, will be fined under Indonesia's new revenue‑based child‑safety sanctions within 12 months."
description: "Jakarta's up‑to‑6%‑of‑global‑revenue penalty is designed as a deterrent large enough to force compliance overhauls. Jakarta has shown willingness to make an early example to establish credibility in t"
url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/104/tiktok-or-x-will-be-fined-under-indonesia-s-new-revenue-based-child-safety-sanct"
markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/104/tiktok-or-x-will-be-fined-under-indonesia-s-new-revenue-based-child-safety-sanct.md"
index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt"
---

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# TikTok or X, will be fined under Indonesia's new revenue‑based child‑safety sanctions within 12 months.

- **Made:** 15 Sep 2026
- **By:** Owen Bae
- **Market:** Indonesia
- **Outcome:** Unresolved

Jakarta's up‑to‑6%‑of‑global‑revenue penalty is designed as a deterrent large enough to force compliance overhauls. Jakarta has shown willingness to make an early example to establish credibility in their tech regulation drive.

[Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=TikTok%20or%20X%2C%20will%20be%20fined%20under%20Indonesia's%20new%20revenue%E2%80%91based%20child%E2%80%91safety%20sanctions%20within%2012%20months.)

## Ask Bilby about it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

- [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20TikTok%20or%20X%2C%20will%20be%20fined%20under%20Indonesia's%20new%20revenue%E2%80%91based%20child%E2%80%91safety%20sanctions%20within%2012%20months.)
- [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20TikTok%20or%20X%2C%20will%20be%20fined%20under%20Indonesia's%20new%20revenue%E2%80%91based%20child%E2%80%91safety%20sanctions%20within%2012%20months.)
- [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20TikTok%20or%20X%2C%20will%20be%20fined%20under%20Indonesia's%20new%20revenue%E2%80%91based%20child%E2%80%91safety%20sanctions%20within%2012%20months.)

## More from Indonesia

29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first.

- 3 Nov 2026 · [ANTAM’s nickel operating profit will reach at least Rp15 trillion (US$830 million) in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/200/antam-s-nickel-operating-profit-will-reach-at-least-rp15-trillion-us-830-million) · Unresolved
- 28 Oct 2026 · [Jakarta’s reform plan is unlikely to reverse MSCI to move Indonesia to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/191/jakarta-s-reform-plan-is-unlikely-to-reverse-msci-to-move-indonesia-to-standalon) · Unresolved
- 20 Oct 2026 · [MSCI will confirm Indonesia’s downgrade from Emerging Market to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/173/msci-will-confirm-indonesia-s-downgrade-from-emerging-market-to-standalone-marke) · Unresolved

[All 29 from Indonesia](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=indonesia) · Marked true or false when each resolves

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