--- title: "DSI will forward at least one Indonesian coal exporter to the Trade or Finance Ministry for sanctions over a suspected price or volume mismatch by 30 June 2027, with significant publicity." description: "The Trade Ministry's new regulations require a surveyor's report on every coal shipment, plus an electronic report on each export whether or not it happens. Customs filings feed the state export compa" url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/132/dsi-will-forward-at-least-one-indonesian-coal-exporter-to-the-trade-or-finance-m" markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/132/dsi-will-forward-at-least-one-indonesian-coal-exporter-to-the-trade-or-finance-m.md" index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt" --- > For agents: Bilby answers questions about what governments do, from documents collected at source and checked by research analysts. To ask Bilby yourself, connect to its MCP server at https://pulse.bilby.ai/mcp (setup: https://docs.bilby.ai/developers/mcp-server). Every page on this site is also markdown: add .md to its address, or send Accept: text/markdown. https://bilby.ai/llms.txt lists them all. # DSI will forward at least one Indonesian coal exporter to the Trade or Finance Ministry for sanctions over a suspected price or volume mismatch by 30 June 2027, with significant publicity. - **Made:** 29 Sep 2026 - **By:** Owen Bae - **Market:** Indonesia - **Outcome:** Unresolved The Trade Ministry's new regulations require a surveyor's report on every coal shipment, plus an electronic report on each export whether or not it happens. Customs filings feed the state export company's database, which checks each price against global coal indices. As Indonesia sells many coal grades, often to related buyers, a system built to compare prices will produce outliers. With the government having designed it to catch under-invoicing, it will use a highly publicised case, whether merited or not, to demonstrate that the new state-controlled export model is successfully defending Indonesian coal prices. Coal exporters will have to brace for increased pricing scrutiny. [Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=DSI%20will%20forward%20at%20least%20one%20Indonesian%20coal%20exporter%20to%20the%20Trade%20or%20Finance%20Ministry%20for%20sanctions%20over%20a%20suspected%20price%20or%20volume%20mismatch%20by%2030%20June%202027%2C%20with%20significant%20publicity.) ## Ask Bilby about it Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed. - [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20DSI%20will%20forward%20at%20least%20one%20Indonesian%20coal%20exporter%20to%20the%20Trade%20or%20Finance%20Ministry%20for%20sanctions%20over%20a%20suspected%20price%20or%20volume%20mismatch%20by%2030%20June%202027%2C%20with%20significant%20publicity.) - [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20DSI%20will%20forward%20at%20least%20one%20Indonesian%20coal%20exporter%20to%20the%20Trade%20or%20Finance%20Ministry%20for%20sanctions%20over%20a%20suspected%20price%20or%20volume%20mismatch%20by%2030%20June%202027%2C%20with%20significant%20publicity.) - [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20DSI%20will%20forward%20at%20least%20one%20Indonesian%20coal%20exporter%20to%20the%20Trade%20or%20Finance%20Ministry%20for%20sanctions%20over%20a%20suspected%20price%20or%20volume%20mismatch%20by%2030%20June%202027%2C%20with%20significant%20publicity.) ## More from Indonesia 29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first. - 3 Nov 2026 · [ANTAM’s nickel operating profit will reach at least Rp15 trillion (US$830 million) in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/200/antam-s-nickel-operating-profit-will-reach-at-least-rp15-trillion-us-830-million) · Unresolved - 28 Oct 2026 · [Jakarta’s reform plan is unlikely to reverse MSCI to move Indonesia to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/191/jakarta-s-reform-plan-is-unlikely-to-reverse-msci-to-move-indonesia-to-standalon) · Unresolved - 20 Oct 2026 · [MSCI will confirm Indonesia’s downgrade from Emerging Market to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/173/msci-will-confirm-indonesia-s-downgrade-from-emerging-market-to-standalone-marke) · Unresolved [All 29 from Indonesia](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=indonesia) · Marked true or false when each resolves ## See what we’re seeing next. New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question. [Get the Asia Daily Take](https://bilby.ai/asia#asia-daily-take) · [Try Bilby](https://pulse.bilby.ai/sign-up)