--- title: "Micron will agree to a permanent profit share of 3 to 5 percent with its Taiwan unions by 30 November 2026." description: "The Taoyuan union has won a 88.3 percent strike vote and is weighing a surprise walkout. A strike seems likely if the final mediation session on 22 October fails to produce an agreement. A walkout giv" url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/156/micron-will-agree-to-a-permanent-profit-share-of-3-to-5-percent-with-its-taiwan-" markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/156/micron-will-agree-to-a-permanent-profit-share-of-3-to-5-percent-with-its-taiwan-.md" index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt" --- > For agents: Bilby answers questions about what governments do, from documents collected at source and checked by research analysts. To ask Bilby yourself, connect to its MCP server at https://pulse.bilby.ai/mcp (setup: https://docs.bilby.ai/developers/mcp-server). Every page on this site is also markdown: add .md to its address, or send Accept: text/markdown. https://bilby.ai/llms.txt lists them all. # Micron will agree to a permanent profit share of 3 to 5 percent with its Taiwan unions by 30 November 2026. - **Made:** 8 Oct 2026 - **By:** Owen Bae - **Market:** Taiwan - **Outcome:** Unresolved The Taoyuan union has won a 88.3 percent strike vote and is weighing a surprise walkout. A strike seems likely if the final mediation session on 22 October fails to produce an agreement. A walkout gives Micron no time to shut its lines down safely, so part-made chips would be ruined and thrown away. Taiwan makes 50 to 60 percent of Micron's chips, so a few weeks of lost output could cost $2.5 billion to $6.9 billion in profit. A 3 to 5 percent share costs $3 billion to $5 billion a year, about the price of one big strike, but it ends the threat. Micron's shareholders will give up some profit to workers while AI buyers keep their supplies undisrupted. But while profit-linked pay can keep workers satisfied when prices are high – it could fuel the next round of strikes and supply disruptions when prices fall. [Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Micron%20will%20agree%20to%20a%20permanent%20profit%20share%20of%203%20to%205%20percent%20with%20its%20Taiwan%20unions%20by%2030%20November%202026.) ## Ask Bilby about it Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed. - [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Micron%20will%20agree%20to%20a%20permanent%20profit%20share%20of%203%20to%205%20percent%20with%20its%20Taiwan%20unions%20by%2030%20November%202026.) - [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Micron%20will%20agree%20to%20a%20permanent%20profit%20share%20of%203%20to%205%20percent%20with%20its%20Taiwan%20unions%20by%2030%20November%202026.) - [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Micron%20will%20agree%20to%20a%20permanent%20profit%20share%20of%203%20to%205%20percent%20with%20its%20Taiwan%20unions%20by%2030%20November%202026.) ## More from Taiwan 14 predictions on Taiwan so far, newest first. - 12 Nov 2026 · [Samsung Electro-Mechanics would capture a larger share of US AI-chip substrate orders in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/213/samsung-electro-mechanics-would-capture-a-larger-share-of-us-ai-chip-substrate-o) · Unresolved - 10 Nov 2026 · [Taiwanese tungsten exporters will face squeezed margins in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/211/taiwanese-tungsten-exporters-will-face-squeezed-margins-in-2027) · Unresolved - 9 Nov 2026 · [Nvidia will place additional AI memory orders with SK hynix or Samsung by the end of 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/210/nvidia-will-place-additional-ai-memory-orders-with-sk-hynix-or-samsung-by-the-en) · Unresolved [All 14 from Taiwan](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=taiwan) · Marked true or false when each resolves ## See what we’re seeing next. New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question. [Get the Asia Daily Take](https://bilby.ai/asia#asia-daily-take) · [Try Bilby](https://pulse.bilby.ai/sign-up)