--- title: "Japan will see at least three cross-industry mergers explicitly invoke \"supply-chain resilience\" or decarbonisation grounds for antitrust clearance within 12 months." description: "Japan's Fair Trade Commission has just revised its merger guidelines for the first time in seven years to formally recognise these factors as pro-competitive \"efficiencies,\" an unprecedented opening t" url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/22/japan-will-see-at-least-three-cross-industry-mergers-explicitly-invoke-supply-ch" markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/22/japan-will-see-at-least-three-cross-industry-mergers-explicitly-invoke-supply-ch.md" index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt" --- > For agents: Bilby answers questions about what governments do, from documents collected at source and checked by research analysts. To ask Bilby yourself, connect to its MCP server at https://pulse.bilby.ai/mcp (setup: https://docs.bilby.ai/developers/mcp-server). Every page on this site is also markdown: add .md to its address, or send Accept: text/markdown. https://bilby.ai/llms.txt lists them all. # Japan will see at least three cross-industry mergers explicitly invoke "supply-chain resilience" or decarbonisation grounds for antitrust clearance within 12 months. - **Made:** 6 Aug 2026 - **By:** David Lee - **Market:** Japan - **Outcome:** Unresolved Japan's Fair Trade Commission has just revised its merger guidelines for the first time in seven years to formally recognise these factors as pro-competitive "efficiencies," an unprecedented opening that dealmakers across steel, chemicals, materials and energy are expected to move quickly to test. [Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Japan%20will%20see%20at%20least%20three%20cross-industry%20mergers%20explicitly%20invoke%20%22supply-chain%20resilience%22%20or%20decarbonisation%20grounds%20for%20antitrust%20clearance%20within%2012%20months.) ## Ask Bilby about it Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed. - [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Japan%20will%20see%20at%20least%20three%20cross-industry%20mergers%20explicitly%20invoke%20%22supply-chain%20resilience%22%20or%20decarbonisation%20grounds%20for%20antitrust%20clearance%20within%2012%20months.) - [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Japan%20will%20see%20at%20least%20three%20cross-industry%20mergers%20explicitly%20invoke%20%22supply-chain%20resilience%22%20or%20decarbonisation%20grounds%20for%20antitrust%20clearance%20within%2012%20months.) - [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Japan%20will%20see%20at%20least%20three%20cross-industry%20mergers%20explicitly%20invoke%20%22supply-chain%20resilience%22%20or%20decarbonisation%20grounds%20for%20antitrust%20clearance%20within%2012%20months.) ## More from Japan 36 predictions on Japan so far, newest first. - 10 Nov 2026 · [NVIDIA will win AI GPU orders for SoftBank’s Sarawak campus worth US$500 million.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/212/nvidia-will-win-ai-gpu-orders-for-softbank-s-sarawak-campus-worth-us-500-million) · Unresolved - 27 Oct 2026 · [Japan’s government preferential debt for local banks will greatly aid its data centre boom.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/190/japan-s-government-preferential-debt-for-local-banks-will-greatly-aid-its-data-c) · Unresolved - 27 Oct 2026 · [China’s government signals a coal buying push — Australian coal is a winner, while Japanese and South Korean power utilities are the likely losers.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/189/china-s-government-signals-a-coal-buying-push-australian-coal-is-a-winner-while-) · Unresolved [All 36 from Japan](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=japan) · Marked true or false when each resolves ## See what we’re seeing next. New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question. [Get the Asia Daily Take](https://bilby.ai/asia#asia-daily-take) · [Try Bilby](https://pulse.bilby.ai/sign-up)