---
title: "Indonesia will commission less than 3GW of new solar capacity in 2026, missing Prabowo's 30GW target by roughly 90%."
description: "With under five months left in the year and only ~1GW of solar installed after a decade of trying, PLN cannot fast-track utility-scale projects from financial close to grid connection in time — 2026 a"
url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/38/indonesia-will-commission-less-than-3gw-of-new-solar-capacity-in-2026-missing-pr"
markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/38/indonesia-will-commission-less-than-3gw-of-new-solar-capacity-in-2026-missing-pr.md"
index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt"
---

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# Indonesia will commission less than 3GW of new solar capacity in 2026, missing Prabowo's 30GW target by roughly 90%.

- **Made:** 14 Aug 2026
- **By:** David Lee
- **Outcome:** Unresolved

With under five months left in the year and only ~1GW of solar installed after a decade of trying, PLN cannot fast-track utility-scale projects from financial close to grid connection in time — 2026 additions will come almost entirely from rooftop, C&I and already-under-construction IPP pipelines rather than new builds triggered by this week's diesel-phase-out directive.

[Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Indonesia%20will%20commission%20less%20than%203GW%20of%20new%20solar%20capacity%20in%202026%2C%20missing%20Prabowo's%2030GW%20target%20by%20roughly%2090%25.)

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- [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Indonesia%20will%20commission%20less%20than%203GW%20of%20new%20solar%20capacity%20in%202026%2C%20missing%20Prabowo's%2030GW%20target%20by%20roughly%2090%25.)
- [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Indonesia%20will%20commission%20less%20than%203GW%20of%20new%20solar%20capacity%20in%202026%2C%20missing%20Prabowo's%2030GW%20target%20by%20roughly%2090%25.)
- [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Indonesia%20will%20commission%20less%20than%203GW%20of%20new%20solar%20capacity%20in%202026%2C%20missing%20Prabowo's%2030GW%20target%20by%20roughly%2090%25.)

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