---
title: "Taiwan's government will introduce an amendment to the Foreign Trade Act to criminalise unauthorised chip exports to China before the end of 2026."
description: "Prosecutors this week indicted a Nvidia Taiwan manager and eight others for allegedly smuggling AI servers to China, exposing a loophole where such exports only draw fines rather than the five-year pr"
url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/59/taiwan-s-government-will-introduce-an-amendment-to-the-foreign-trade-act-to-crim"
markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/59/taiwan-s-government-will-introduce-an-amendment-to-the-foreign-trade-act-to-crim.md"
index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt"
---

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# Taiwan's government will introduce an amendment to the Foreign Trade Act to criminalise unauthorised chip exports to China before the end of 2026.

- **Made:** 25 Aug 2026
- **By:** David Lee
- **Outcome:** Unresolved

Prosecutors this week indicted a Nvidia Taiwan manager and eight others for allegedly smuggling AI servers to China, exposing a loophole where such exports only draw fines rather than the five-year prison terms applied to other restricted destinations. A DPP lawmaker has pushed a fix since June, but passing it is another matter: the KMT-led opposition controls the legislature and has consistently obstructed national security-related bills, so the amendment is far more likely to be tabled than enacted this year.

[Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Taiwan's%20government%20will%20introduce%20an%20amendment%20to%20the%20Foreign%20Trade%20Act%20to%20criminalise%20unauthorised%20chip%20exports%20to%20China%20before%20the%20end%20of%202026.)

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- [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Taiwan's%20government%20will%20introduce%20an%20amendment%20to%20the%20Foreign%20Trade%20Act%20to%20criminalise%20unauthorised%20chip%20exports%20to%20China%20before%20the%20end%20of%202026.)
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- [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Taiwan's%20government%20will%20introduce%20an%20amendment%20to%20the%20Foreign%20Trade%20Act%20to%20criminalise%20unauthorised%20chip%20exports%20to%20China%20before%20the%20end%20of%202026.)

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