---
title: "Taiwan's first NT$40 billion tranche of annual spending under its newly passed drone procurement act will not clear the legislature by the start of FY2027, sliding into mid-year."
description: "Because the opposition-backed act routes funding through the ordinary annual general budget rather than a ring-fenced special budget, the same opposition-controlled legislature that took a record 266 "
url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/68/taiwan-s-first-nt-40-billion-tranche-of-annual-spending-under-its-newly-passed-d"
markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/68/taiwan-s-first-nt-40-billion-tranche-of-annual-spending-under-its-newly-passed-d.md"
index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt"
---

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# Taiwan's first NT$40 billion tranche of annual spending under its newly passed drone procurement act will not clear the legislature by the start of FY2027, sliding into mid-year.

- **Made:** 28 Aug 2026
- **By:** Marco Law
- **Market:** Taiwan
- **Outcome:** Unresolved

Because the opposition-backed act routes funding through the ordinary annual general budget rather than a ring-fenced special budget, the same opposition-controlled legislature that took a record 266 days to pass the FY2026 budget keeps annual veto leverage over drone spending. That precedent, plus the DPP government's strained relations with the legislature, points to fresh brinkmanship before the money moves.

[Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Taiwan's%20first%20NT%2440%20billion%20tranche%20of%20annual%20spending%20under%20its%20newly%20passed%20drone%20procurement%20act%20will%20not%20clear%20the%20legislature%20by%20the%20start%20of%20FY2027%2C%20sliding%20into%20mid-year.)

## Ask Bilby about it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

- [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Taiwan's%20first%20NT%2440%20billion%20tranche%20of%20annual%20spending%20under%20its%20newly%20passed%20drone%20procurement%20act%20will%20not%20clear%20the%20legislature%20by%20the%20start%20of%20FY2027%2C%20sliding%20into%20mid-year.)
- [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Taiwan's%20first%20NT%2440%20billion%20tranche%20of%20annual%20spending%20under%20its%20newly%20passed%20drone%20procurement%20act%20will%20not%20clear%20the%20legislature%20by%20the%20start%20of%20FY2027%2C%20sliding%20into%20mid-year.)
- [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Taiwan's%20first%20NT%2440%20billion%20tranche%20of%20annual%20spending%20under%20its%20newly%20passed%20drone%20procurement%20act%20will%20not%20clear%20the%20legislature%20by%20the%20start%20of%20FY2027%2C%20sliding%20into%20mid-year.)

## More from Taiwan

14 predictions on Taiwan so far, newest first.

- 12 Nov 2026 · [Samsung Electro-Mechanics would capture a larger share of US AI-chip substrate orders in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/213/samsung-electro-mechanics-would-capture-a-larger-share-of-us-ai-chip-substrate-o) · Unresolved
- 10 Nov 2026 · [Taiwanese tungsten exporters will face squeezed margins in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/211/taiwanese-tungsten-exporters-will-face-squeezed-margins-in-2027) · Unresolved
- 9 Nov 2026 · [Nvidia will place additional AI memory orders with SK hynix or Samsung by the end of 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/210/nvidia-will-place-additional-ai-memory-orders-with-sk-hynix-or-samsung-by-the-en) · Unresolved

[All 14 from Taiwan](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=taiwan) · Marked true or false when each resolves

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