--- title: "Indonesia's plan to mandate 20% bioethanol blending in petrol by 2028 will be scaled back, likely landing near E10 to E12 nationwide rather than full E20." description: "Government figures show fuel-grade ethanol capacity of roughly 70,000 kilolitres against an annual requirement near 4 million kilolitres for full E20, a gap the newly scrapped bioethanol excise tax al" url: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/97/indonesia-s-plan-to-mandate-20-bioethanol-blending-in-petrol-by-2028-will-be-sca" markdown: "https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/97/indonesia-s-plan-to-mandate-20-bioethanol-blending-in-petrol-by-2028-will-be-sca.md" index: "https://bilby.ai/llms.txt" --- > For agents: Bilby answers questions about what governments do, from documents collected at source and checked by research analysts. To ask Bilby yourself, connect to its MCP server at https://pulse.bilby.ai/mcp (setup: https://docs.bilby.ai/developers/mcp-server). Every page on this site is also markdown: add .md to its address, or send Accept: text/markdown. https://bilby.ai/llms.txt lists them all. # Indonesia's plan to mandate 20% bioethanol blending in petrol by 2028 will be scaled back, likely landing near E10 to E12 nationwide rather than full E20. - **Made:** 10 Sep 2026 - **By:** Marco Law - **Market:** Indonesia - **Outcome:** Unresolved Government figures show fuel-grade ethanol capacity of roughly 70,000 kilolitres against an annual requirement near 4 million kilolitres for full E20, a gap the newly scrapped bioethanol excise tax alone cannot close. Indonesia's palm-based biodiesel programme took over a decade to scale using abundant feedstock; sugarcane and cassava-based ethanol lacks that surplus, so the promised energy-security win will likely need costly imports or a diluted mandate instead. [Ask Bilby about this prediction](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Indonesia's%20plan%20to%20mandate%2020%25%20bioethanol%20blending%20in%20petrol%20by%202028%20will%20be%20scaled%20back%2C%20likely%20landing%20near%20E10%20to%20E12%20nationwide%20rather%20than%20full%20E20.) ## Ask Bilby about it Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed. - [What has changed since it was made?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=What%20has%20changed%20since%20Bilby%20predicted%20this%3F%20Indonesia's%20plan%20to%20mandate%2020%25%20bioethanol%20blending%20in%20petrol%20by%202028%20will%20be%20scaled%20back%2C%20likely%20landing%20near%20E10%20to%20E12%20nationwide%20rather%20than%20full%20E20.) - [Who decides whether it happens?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20decides%20whether%20this%20happens%3F%20Indonesia's%20plan%20to%20mandate%2020%25%20bioethanol%20blending%20in%20petrol%20by%202028%20will%20be%20scaled%20back%2C%20likely%20landing%20near%20E10%20to%20E12%20nationwide%20rather%20than%20full%20E20.) - [Who gains and who loses if it does?](https://pulse.bilby.ai/?prompt=Who%20gains%20and%20who%20loses%20if%20this%20happens%3F%20Indonesia's%20plan%20to%20mandate%2020%25%20bioethanol%20blending%20in%20petrol%20by%202028%20will%20be%20scaled%20back%2C%20likely%20landing%20near%20E10%20to%20E12%20nationwide%20rather%20than%20full%20E20.) ## More from Indonesia 29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first. - 3 Nov 2026 · [ANTAM’s nickel operating profit will reach at least Rp15 trillion (US$830 million) in 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/200/antam-s-nickel-operating-profit-will-reach-at-least-rp15-trillion-us-830-million) · Unresolved - 28 Oct 2026 · [Jakarta’s reform plan is unlikely to reverse MSCI to move Indonesia to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/191/jakarta-s-reform-plan-is-unlikely-to-reverse-msci-to-move-indonesia-to-standalon) · Unresolved - 20 Oct 2026 · [MSCI will confirm Indonesia’s downgrade from Emerging Market to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.](https://bilby.ai/predictions/p/173/msci-will-confirm-indonesia-s-downgrade-from-emerging-market-to-standalone-marke) · Unresolved [All 29 from Indonesia](https://bilby.ai/predictions/log?tag=indonesia) · Marked true or false when each resolves ## See what we’re seeing next. New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question. [Get the Asia Daily Take](https://bilby.ai/asia#asia-daily-take) · [Try Bilby](https://pulse.bilby.ai/sign-up)