BilbyTry Bilby
All predictions

Indonesia will not impose a binding nationwide vape ban before 31 March 2027.

Made
14 Oct 2026
By
Owen Bae
Market
Indonesia
Outcome
Unresolved

On 12 October, the National Narcotics Agency and two coordinating ministries called for a total ban after narcotics were found in vape liquids. However, e-cigarettes remain legal under the 2023 Health Law and a 2024 government regulation (PP 28/2024), meaning a nationwide ban would require a presidential regulation. Vape makers and retailers support an estimated 100,000–150,000 jobs and generate Rp2.8 trillion in annual excise revenue, giving President Prabowo little incentive to impose an outright ban. Instead, the agency is likely to secure tighter customs checks, mandatory ingredient disclosures and Health Ministry restrictions, as it did after etomidate was found in vape liquids in 2025.

Ask Bilbyabout it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

More from Indonesia

29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first.

All 29 from IndonesiaMarked true or false when each resolves

See what we’reseeing next.

New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.

Get the Asia Daily TakeTry Bilby

You are reading bilby.ai as an agent does: the same page, in markdown.