All predictions
A Chinese gold miner such as Zhaojin Mining will announce a new overseas gold-mine acquisition, likely in Africa or Central Asia, within 12 months.
Made
7 Aug 2026
By
David Lee
Market
China
Outcome
Unresolved
Domestic output fell 14.6% year-on-year in H1 2026 to 152.9 tonnes on safety-driven mine closures even as consumption rose 1.2% to 511.4 tonnes, and executives have already signalled active deal-hunting abroad to bridge the widening domestic supply gap.
Ask Bilbyabout it
Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.
More from China
37 predictions on China so far, newest first.
9 Nov 2026Costly winter gas purchases will push CPC’s accumulated losses to about NT$127.6 billion by the end of 2026Unresolved6 Nov 2026Nvidia is likely to win additional computing orders by the end of 2027.Unresolved5 Nov 2026China’s IPO restrictions will redirect billions of yuan towards private financing.Unresolved
All 37 from ChinaMarked true or false when each resolves
See what we’reseeing next.
New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.
Get the Asia Daily TakeTry Bilby