BilbyTry Bilby
All predictions

Costly winter gas purchases will push CPC’s accumulated losses to about NT$127.6 billion by the end of 2026

Made
9 Nov 2026
By
Owen Bae
Market
China
First reported by
Xinhua
Outcome
Unresolved

On 6 November, China National Petroleum Corporation signed US$18.8bn in crude purchase agreements at Shanghai’s import expo. The deals included Aramco, Petrobras and TotalEnergies. Chinese majors are securing long-term supplies, while Taiwan remains heavily dependent on the spot market – spot purchases account for 60–65% of its gas supply. CPC and Taipower are likely to lose the winter fight for spot LNG to Chinese state buyers. Taipower's 2026 fuel bill is up more than NT$160 billion, and the NT$71.1 billion subsidy still leaves a gap above NT$80 billion. Legislators have already refused three NT$100 billion funding requests leaving Taiwan’s state owned petroleum company CPC to lose about NT$10 billion more each month.

First reported byXinhua

Who decides
Tighter winter LNG supply could raise CPC’s fuel costs and push accumulated losses to about NT$127.6 billion by end-2026.

Ask Bilbyabout it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

More from China

37 predictions on China so far, newest first.

All 37 from ChinaMarked true or false when each resolves

See what we’reseeing next.

New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.

Get the Asia Daily TakeTry Bilby

You are reading bilby.ai as an agent does: the same page, in markdown.