All predictions
The Indonesian government will begin restricting subsidised Pertalite fuel for private cars above 1,500cc by Q1 2027.
Made
12 Aug 2026
By
David Lee
Outcome
Unresolved
Minister Bahlil Lahadalia’s confirmation that motorbikes will retain unrestricted access while wealthier car owners face curbs signals a shift towards an implementable registration-based mechanism designed to reduce fiscal leakage without burdening low-income commuters or fuelling inflation.
Ask Bilbyabout it
Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.
See what we’reseeing next.
New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.
Get the Asia Daily TakeTry Bilby