TikTok or X, will be fined under Indonesia's new revenue‑based child‑safety sanctions within 12 months.

Made

15 Sep 2026

Owen Bae

Market

Indonesia

Outcome

Unresolved

Jakarta's up‑to‑6%‑of‑global‑revenue penalty is designed as a deterrent large enough to force compliance overhauls. Jakarta has shown willingness to make an early example to establish credibility in their tech regulation drive.

Ask Bilby about this prediction

Ask Bilbyabout it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

What has changed since it was made?Who decides whether it happens?Who gains and who loses if it does?

More from Indonesia

29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first.

3 Nov 2026ANTAM’s nickel operating profit will reach at least Rp15 trillion (US$830 million) in 2027.Unresolved 28 Oct 2026Jakarta’s reform plan is unlikely to reverse MSCI to move Indonesia to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.Unresolved 20 Oct 2026MSCI will confirm Indonesia’s downgrade from Emerging Market to Standalone Market status by 30 June 2027.Unresolved

All 29 from IndonesiaMarked true or false when each resolves

See what we’reseeing next.

New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.

Get the Asia Daily Take Try Bilby