Indonesia will commission less than 3GW of new solar capacity in 2026, missing Prabowo's 30GW target by roughly 90%.

With under five months left in the year and only ~1GW of solar installed after a decade of trying, PLN cannot fast-track utility-scale projects from financial close to grid connection in time — 2026 additions will come almost entirely from rooftop, C&I and already-under-construction IPP pipelines rather than new builds triggered by this week's diesel-phase-out directive.