BilbyTry Bilby
All predictions

Indonesia's crude oil output will finish 2026 at least 5% below its 610,000 barrels per day target.

Made
27 Aug 2026
By
Marco Law
Market
Indonesia
Outcome
Unresolved

July's average of 578,156 barrels per day already missed the state goal due to pipeline leaks and field decline, and no rapid fix is in sight. Expect a further rise in refined fuel imports and pressure on the state energy subsidy bill rather than the self-sufficiency gains officials keep promising.

Ask Bilbyabout it

Carry the prediction into a question: what has changed since, who decides, and who is exposed.

More from Indonesia

29 predictions on Indonesia so far, newest first.

All 29 from IndonesiaMarked true or false when each resolves

See what we’reseeing next.

New predictions in the Asia Daily Take, free every weekday, and in Bilby whenever you have a question.

Get the Asia Daily TakeTry Bilby

You are reading bilby.ai as an agent does: the same page, in markdown.