207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
207 predictionsNewest first
26 Aug 2026JapanJapan will move beyond its non-binding AI training data disclosure guidelines to draft legislation with financial penalties for non-disclosure within the next 12 months.Unresolved26 Aug 2026USTR will formally open a Section 301 investigation into Korea's treatment of Coupang within 90 days, citing this week's blocked inspection as fresh evidence.Unresolved26 Aug 2026At least one centrally administered Chinese energy SOE, most likely China Huaneng, Datang or State Power Investment, will announce a senior executive reshuffle or early retirement tied to environmental compliance within 12 months.Unresolved25 Aug 2026JapanWithin a year of a new tax deferral scheme taking effect, at least three of Japan's largest conglomerates will announce non-core carve outs worth over $1 billion each.Unresolved25 Aug 2026Fewer than ten of the roughly 30 firms Indonesia is investigating over this year's forest fires will have their permits permanently revoked by mid-2027.Unresolved25 Aug 2026Taiwan's government will introduce an amendment to the Foreign Trade Act to criminalise unauthorised chip exports to China before the end of 2026.Unresolved24 Aug 2026Indonesian palm oil shipments to the EU will not rise more than 5% in the first half of 2027, despite an incoming CEPA eliminating tariffs on the sector.Unresolved24 Aug 2026Korea's new Future Response Fund will report a net funding shortfall within the next memory-chip downturn, plausibly by fiscal 2028 or 2029.Unresolved24 Aug 2026China's expanded interest subsidy will not lift retail sales above 1.5% year-on-year through year end.Unresolved21 Aug 2026US Customs will subject at least one more Vietnamese export sector, likely solar cells, steel or furniture, for enhanced transshipment enforcement within 90 days, despite Hanoi's new crackdown pledges.Unresolved21 Aug 2026JapanToyota, Honda and Nissan will avoid any EV assembly-line halt through year-end despite Japan's rare earth crunch.Unresolved21 Aug 2026Malaysia will approve a Chinese state-linked rare earth refining joint venture within the next 12 months.Unresolved