207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
207 predictionsNewest first
1 Sep 2026South KoreaBeijing will impose at least one new retaliatory trade measure targeting South Korean firms within three months, using Seoul's new export licensing regime for advanced chips as the pretext.Unresolved1 Sep 2026ChinaRussia's oil and gas exports to China will not meaningfully increase following the Xi-Putin Bishkek meeting, keeping Moscow reliant on discounted crude sales.Unresolved1 Sep 2026VietnamViettel and VNPT will report R&D spending near 3% of revenue within two years, though most of the increase will come from relabelling existing technology costs rather than genuine new research.Unresolved31 Aug 2026ChinaChina's new-home prices will keep falling on a year-on-year basis through at least the first quarter of 2027, even as sales volumes stabilise following a property financing overhaul.Unresolved31 Aug 2026Indonesia, JapanIndonesia will add at least one of Japan or South Korea to its list of designated countries eligible for the relaxed export proceeds rule within the next 6 to 12 months.True31 Aug 2026TaiwanTaiwan will see at least one more major electronics supplier investigated for mislabelling Chinese-made components as domestic within six months.Unresolved28 Aug 2026ThailandASEAN's new digital skills passport will launch within a year as a pilot covering fewer than half of the bloc's ten member states, with early credential recognition concentrated in high-value sectors like EVs and data centres.Unresolved28 Aug 2026IndonesiaIndonesia's GDP growth will land between 5.2 and 5.4% in 2027, well below the 6% figure Jakarta used to build its expansive draft budget, forcing a revision of fiscal assumptions within the year.Unresolved28 Aug 2026TaiwanTaiwan's first NT$40 billion tranche of annual spending under its newly passed drone procurement act will not clear the legislature by the start of FY2027, sliding into mid-year.Unresolved27 Aug 2026IndonesiaIndonesia's crude oil output will finish 2026 at least 5% below its 610,000 barrels per day target.Unresolved27 Aug 2026ThailandThailand's 70%-of-GDP public debt ceiling will be raised again within 12 months, despite the finance ministry's assurances a new 400 billion baht loan decree stays under it.Unresolved27 Aug 2026South KoreaSouth Korea will not submit a formal CPTPP application in 2026, and will instead unveil an expanded farmer and fisher compensation fund, likely exceeding 1 trillion won, before any Cabinet decision to apply.Unresolved