207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
207 predictionsNewest first
7 Sep 2026IndonesiaIndonesia will quietly ease enforcement on cosmetics and health supplement imports within three months of its October 18 halal certification deadline, even as officials insist there will be no delay.Unresolved7 Sep 2026ThailandThailand's blanket pause on data centre approvals will still be in force well past its promised one-month deadline, stalling more than 166 projects, including 49 already under construction, into 2027.Unresolved7 Sep 2026China10 to 20 of China's smaller, opaque insurers to face forced recapitalisation, control transfers or licence exits within the next 18 months.Unresolved4 Sep 2026JapanJOGMEC's first independently acquired mineral assets will concentrate in politically stable, already-allied jurisdictions like Australia or Canada rather than the higher-risk African or Latin American deposits where China holds its strongest position.Unresolved4 Sep 2026South KoreaSamsung and SK Hynix's new fabs at the Yongin-Pyeongtaek semiconductor mega-cluster will face transmission and power-connection delays past their original completion targets.Unresolved4 Sep 2026ChinaBeijing Stock Exchange IPOs from "specialised and sophisticated" tech SMEs will rise by at least 50% over the next 18 months.Unresolved3 Sep 2026ChinaBeijing will let the foreign-individual fringe-benefit tax exemption lapse on schedule at the end of 2027 rather than extend it again.Unresolved3 Sep 2026VietnamVietnam will fall short of its own newly set target of investing 1 to 1.5% of GDP annually in AI in 2027, with the shortfall concentrated in the state's own contribution rather than private capital.Unresolved3 Sep 2026South KoreaSamsung and SK Hynix will secure formal exemption or reduced tariff treatment under Washington's semiconductor tariff offset programme within six months without pledging a single new dollar of US investment.Unresolved2 Sep 2026ChinaChinese EV export prices in Southeast Asia will keep falling through early 2027 despite new compliance guidelines discouraging price wars by Chinese carmakers abroad.Unresolved2 Sep 2026IndiaIndia's semiconductor trade deficit will widen in absolute dollar terms through 2028, even as officials tout falling import dependence.Unresolved2 Sep 2026JapanTokyo will approve one more supplementary budget for fuel subsidies before the fiscal year ends in March 2027.Unresolved