207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
207 predictionsNewest first
11 Sep 2026ChinaChina's below-cost dumping crackdown will hit solar and steel export volumes within six months, not domestic prices.Unresolved11 Sep 2026Thailand, JapanChinese automakers, not Japanese incumbents, will keep gaining Thai EV market share even after Bangkok's new tiered excise tax rewards local component sourcing.Unresolved11 Sep 2026MalaysiaMalaysia's approved Indian-linked manufacturing portfolio will cross US$3.5 billion by mid-2027, but the additional growth will come disproportionately from transport and metals projects rather than pharmaceuticals or renewables.Unresolved10 Sep 2026IndonesiaIndonesia's plan to mandate 20% bioethanol blending in petrol by 2028 will be scaled back, likely landing near E10 to E12 nationwide rather than full E20.Unresolved10 Sep 2026ThailandSolar panel and battery import costs for Thailand's new household subsidy scheme will run 10 to 15% above budget by mid-2027.Unresolved10 Sep 2026TaiwanSamsung's foundry business will not close its gap with TSMC through 2027, despite its $16.5 billion Tesla chip deal being widely cast as a turnaround.Unresolved9 Sep 2026South KoreaSouth Korea's newly drafted acqui-hire merger rule will let most Big Tech AI talent raids go unreported in its first year.Unresolved9 Sep 2026JapanThe Bank of Japan's rate hike to 1.25% this month will be its last for at least four months, not the opening move of a rapid tightening cycle.Unresolved9 Sep 2026India26-nation "Call to Action for 6G Leadership and Security" will produce no joint funding pool or binding technical standard within the next twelve months.Unresolved8 Sep 2026China, JapanBeijing's new anti-dumping duties on Japanese dichlorosilane, reaching 99.2%, will end up benefiting South Korean and European chip-material suppliers rather than Chinese producers.Unresolved8 Sep 2026South KoreaFrance will grant South Korean carmakers only narrow, model-specific exemptions from its EV subsidy rules within a year, not a blanket carve-out from its carbon-score restrictions.Unresolved8 Sep 2026IndonesiaBank Rakyat Indonesia and Bank Syariah Indonesia will report tens of millions of new basic accounts within a year of President Prabowo's universal banking order, but a meaningful share of rural welfare payments will initially fail or be delayed.Unresolved