207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
207 predictionsNewest first
30 Sep 2026IndiaThe IRDAI, India's insurance regulator, will notify final rules by June 2027 that keep a newly proposed 12.5% five-year expense ceiling for life insurers and the 2% cap on lender-sold credit life commissions, despite heavy lobbying from banks, insurers and brokers.Unresolved30 Sep 2026JapanThe US share of Japan's crude imports will average below 25% across January to March 2027, down from 36% in July, even after Tokyo's planned oil security bills become law.Unresolved29 Sep 2026IndiaA fresh public-interest litigation invoking Section 100 of the Patents Act against another high-cost patented drug will surface in a different Indian High Court within six months, with Merck & Co, Novartis, Pfizer and Roche all facing renewed scrutiny of their India oncology and rare-disease portfolios.Unresolved29 Sep 2026ChinaVietnam's US shipments of the toys, bedding and kitchenware on the 77-item US-China tariff-cut list will still be at least 50% above their 2024 level in the first half of 2027, with LEGO, Mattel and Hasbro among those keeping their Vietnamese output.Unresolved29 Sep 2026ChinaA Chinese-owned battery recycler other than Gotion, most likely CATL's Brunp, Huayou Recycling or GEM, will announce a battery recycling or black mass processing site in an EU country by June 2027.Unresolved29 Sep 2026JapanJapanese police, prosecutors or the Japan Fair Trade Commission will announce at least one new arrest, indictment or cease-and-desist order over a public proposal competition within 12 months, most likely where a firm obtained rivals' proposals from a public official.Unresolved29 Sep 2026IndonesiaDSI will forward at least one Indonesian coal exporter to the Trade or Finance Ministry for sanctions over a suspected price or volume mismatch by 30 June 2027, with significant publicity.Unresolved28 Sep 2026ChinaChina will hit its pledge to import at least 10 million tonnes of US coal in 2027, making it the only Trump-Xi summit commitment Beijing fulfils cleanly.Unresolved28 Sep 2026ThailandChina's Neta Auto will become the first automaker forced through Thailand's newly announced electric vehicle subsidy clawback mechanism, with a formal repayment demand or asset freeze against its Thai unit by mid-2027.Unresolved28 Sep 2026IndiaIndonesian coal exporters stand to gain from India’s power crunch over the next two quarters, with Adani Power the likely loser.Unresolved25 Sep 2026JapanJapanese energy and trading companies will receive windfalls from US crude and LNG within the next two to three quarters — but India and China will be the geopolitical winners.Unresolved25 Sep 2026India, JapanExpect India’s DRI to widen its customs probe to more South Korea and Japanese electronics brands within the next two to three quarters.Unresolved