207
predictions on the record
31 Jul 2026 to 12 Nov 2026
All predictions
Every prediction, with the date it was made and its outcome so far.
37 predictions · ChinaNewest first
7 Sep 2026China10 to 20 of China's smaller, opaque insurers to face forced recapitalisation, control transfers or licence exits within the next 18 months.Unresolved4 Sep 2026ChinaBeijing Stock Exchange IPOs from "specialised and sophisticated" tech SMEs will rise by at least 50% over the next 18 months.Unresolved3 Sep 2026ChinaBeijing will let the foreign-individual fringe-benefit tax exemption lapse on schedule at the end of 2027 rather than extend it again.Unresolved2 Sep 2026ChinaChinese EV export prices in Southeast Asia will keep falling through early 2027 despite new compliance guidelines discouraging price wars by Chinese carmakers abroad.Unresolved1 Sep 2026ChinaRussia's oil and gas exports to China will not meaningfully increase following the Xi-Putin Bishkek meeting, keeping Moscow reliant on discounted crude sales.Unresolved31 Aug 2026ChinaChina's new-home prices will keep falling on a year-on-year basis through at least the first quarter of 2027, even as sales volumes stabilise following a property financing overhaul.Unresolved11 Aug 2026ChinaAt least 50 million tonnes of small and mid-sized Chinese coal mining capacity will be shut or absorbed into larger state operators by end-2027, with China Shenhua the clearest beneficiary.Unresolved7 Aug 2026ChinaA Chinese gold miner such as Zhaojin Mining will announce a new overseas gold-mine acquisition, likely in Africa or Central Asia, within 12 months.Unresolved6 Aug 2026China, JapanA major Japanese printer or copier maker (Canon, Ricoh, Fujifilm or Konica Minolta) will announce a China-specific firmware localisation partnership with a Chinese software developer within six months.Unresolved4 Aug 2026ChinaChina's cumulative new-type energy storage capacity will surpass 200 GW by the end of 2026, a year ahead of industry forecasts.Unresolved3 Aug 2026ChinaChina's cumulative cross-border RMB settlement volume tied to export loans will rise by at least 15% year-on-year in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.Unresolved31 Jul 2026ChinaChina's PBOC will cut a key policy rate by 10 basis points before the end of September 2026.False